Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 9.075018 10.423267 11.861671 13.505879 15.328587 17.282541 19.530758
2025-02-16 6.595194 8.335497 10.331920 12.773082 15.658004 18.938887 22.931227
2025-02-23 4.873489 6.756785 9.071285 12.082186 15.849123 20.358069 26.110422
2025-03-02 3.740086 5.667882 8.196104 11.676882 16.258426 21.991778 29.606094
2025-03-09 3.003718 4.950022 7.660672 11.588012 16.992957 24.020145 33.674510
2025-03-16 2.401222 4.300267 7.104664 11.369613 17.487201 25.722574 37.385707
2025-03-23 2.122733 4.080084 7.115735 11.918946 19.040953 28.895075 43.184163
2025-03-30 1.799367 3.724369 6.864511 12.035788 19.959981 31.221970 47.929301
2025-04-06 1.432209 3.219708 6.301605 11.599448 20.003851 32.285443 50.936666
2025-04-13 1.124330 2.755357 5.731770 11.073018 19.840041 33.001753 53.442385
2025-04-20 1.012988 2.648105 5.759316 11.518326 21.202616 36.018985 59.390117
2025-04-27 0.974999 2.684023 6.045011 12.418386 23.337199 40.284914 67.334640
2025-05-04 0.890975 2.610767 6.128749 12.991871 25.007024 43.969005 74.644532
2025-05-11 0.759292 2.401129 5.922344 13.026012 25.780261 46.298750 80.009292
2025-05-18 0.619894 2.137532 5.568590 12.748826 25.996066 47.748117 84.073862
2025-05-25 0.511933 1.923949 5.284609 12.568365 26.355417 49.429489 88.549034
2025-06-01 0.437404 1.780038 5.128079 12.614529 27.107940 51.769752 94.129670
2025-06-08 0.362231 1.610710 4.886526 12.460778 27.477837 53.478830 98.749132
2025-06-15 0.340369 1.602627 5.023352 13.099917 29.350674 57.789535 107.716051
2025-06-22 0.296653 1.508548 4.936326 13.253843 30.311675 60.575025 114.269993
2025-06-29 0.233773 1.322530 4.585834 12.797782 30.066806 61.257226 117.360839
2025-07-06 0.178972 1.140368 4.209183 12.236483 29.566735 61.453294 119.624271
2025-07-13 0.165587 1.124208 4.286399 12.724024 31.184864 65.470296 128.461336